Seahawks @ Lions

Seahawks (-+180) @ Lions (-220): O/U 47.0
Seahawks +4.5 (-110), Lions -4.5.(-110)

Writer’s Record:
Bet: 1-1 -0.2u
Lean: 3-3 -0.35u

It is hard to find two more teams heading in opposite directions after Week 1 than the Lions and the Seahawks.  The Lions were world beaters, taking down the Super Bowl Champs in their own home in the opening game of the season, while the Seahawks lost to the Rams and their misfit castoff of nobodies.  The first rule of football is don’t overreact to Week 1 and while we will try not to do that, the circumstantial evidence is hard to ignore. The Lions are starting where they finished last season, on a roll and look to keep building momentum at home where they are exponentially more dangerous.  The Seahawks are taking on water and their best bet to plug the holes in the offensive line was signing 41-year old Jason Peters.  Historically if you simply bet on the teams that got blown out in Week 1 to cover in Week 2 you’d rich beyond measure, so everything needs to be taken with a grain of salt, but while the Lions look beastly, the Seahawks need to figure out if they are the competent team from the first half of Week 1 or the team that had one of the worst second halves in NFL history.

Main Storylines to Watch

A Tale of Two Halves: The Seahawks looked the part of a complete offense in the first half vs. the Rams, but everything fell apart once they lost two tackles and Geno Smith’s protection evaporated.  With a whole week to address the issue, they should be able to patchwork an offensive line together, but it won’t be pretty.  Equally alarming was the lack of pressure on Matt Stafford all game.  If the Seahawks give Jared Goff a clean pocket all game, he’s going to throw for 300 yards and three TDs without breaking a sweat.  Sometimes football is simple.  Seattle needs to keep Geno upright and put Goff on the ground to have a chance in this game.

In the Lion’s Den: Goff threw for 29 TDs last season and 23 of them were within the confines of Ford Arena.  Matt Stafford just tossed the rock vs. the Seahawks for 334 yards with receivers that no one has ever heard of.  The Lions play a simple, but devastatingly effective style of offense. They will pound the ball into the ground with a two-headed RB attack buoyed by a top-five offensive line just enough to keep the defense off-kilter, which gives Goff the perfect avenue to shred teams over the middle.  Goff might not be the most versatile QB in the league but with a clean pocket and time to throw, he will absolutely pick you part.

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